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上海电力大学学报:1998,14(3):37-44
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短期负荷与气候因素关系的初探
(1.上海电力学院;2.江西南昌供电局)
(1.Shanghai Institute of Electric Power;2.Jiangxi Nanchang Power Supply Bureau)
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投稿时间:1998-03-18    
中文摘要: 针对电力负荷非平稳性变化的特点,特别是气温的变化引起负荷变动的趋势越来越明显。因此,本文提出了一种适用处理天气因素进行短期负荷预报的方法。该方法具有一定的适应性,对非平稳的电力负荷具有较好的预测效果。
中文关键词: 电力系统  负荷  气候  灰色模型  时间序列
Abstract:In view of the unsteady characteristics of the fluctuation in power load, especially thefact that the phenomenon of the fluctuation in load as a result of the changes in weatherconditions is increasingly obvious, this paper puts forward a method which is applicable inthe prediction of short-term power load by means of the treatment of weather factors. Theresult of the prediction shows that this system has a certain degree of applicability andreliability.
文章编号:19980307     中图分类号:    文献标志码:
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引用文本:
施泉生,汤希苑.短期负荷与气候因素关系的初探[J].上海电力大学学报,1998,14(3):37-44.
Shi Quansheng,Tang Xiyuan.[J].Journal of Shanghai University of Electric Power,1998,14(3):37-44.