上海电网中长期负荷预测

吕丰; 裴秀高; 王勇

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上海电力大学学报:2010,26(6):537-540

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上海电网中长期负荷预测

吕丰, 裴秀高, 王勇

(上海电力学院电力与自动化工程学院, 上海 200090)

Load Forecasting of Medium-term and Long-term for Shanghai Grid

LV Feng, PEI Xiu-gao, WANG Yong

(School of Electric Power and Automation Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China)

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本文已被：浏览 1101次下载 622次
投稿时间：2010-07-12

中文摘要: 介绍了上海电网概况,分析了网供负荷特性,以及近期影响上海地区负荷的因素,并使用不同的预测方法给出了中长期负荷和用电量的方案.最后针对上海地区的特点,提出了提高负荷预测准确性和应对本地区电网严峻形势的对策和建议.

中文关键词: 上海电网负荷预测需求预测用电量

Abstract:An overview of Shanghai grid is presented and the load characteristics are analyzed.The factors that have recently influenced Shanghai are mainly analyzed.Various factors are taken into account in using different forecast methods, a scheme of recent load and power consumption is proposed.Finally, considering features of Shanghai region, some measures and suggestions are proposed to improve the accuracy of load forecast and deal with difficult situations of the region grid.

keywords: Shanghai grid load forecast demand prediction power consumption

文章编号：20100606 中图分类号： 文献标志码：

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作者	单位	E-mail
吕丰	上海电力学院电力与自动化工程学院, 上海 200090	ys0810221008@shiep.edu.cn
裴秀高	上海电力学院电力与自动化工程学院, 上海 200090
王勇	上海电力学院电力与自动化工程学院, 上海 200090

Author Name	Affiliation	E-mail
LV Feng	School of Electric Power and Automation Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China	ys0810221008@shiep.edu.cn
PEI Xiu-gao	School of Electric Power and Automation Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China
WANG Yong	School of Electric Power and Automation Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China

引用文本：
吕丰,裴秀高,王勇.上海电网中长期负荷预测[J].上海电力大学学报,2010,26(6):537-540.
LV Feng,PEI Xiu-gao,WANG Yong.Load Forecasting of Medium-term and Long-term for Shanghai Grid[J].Journal of Shanghai University of Electric Power,2010,26(6):537-540.