基于装接容量的负荷预测及其在配电网规划中的应用

李春杰; 华月申; 顾黎强

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DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-4729.2015.06.006

Journal of ShangHai University of Electric Power :2015,31(6):529-532

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基于装接容量的负荷预测及其在配电网规划中的应用

李春杰^1,2, 华月申², 顾黎强²

(1.上海交通大学电子信息及电气工程学院, 上海 200030;2.国网上海浦东供电公司调度控制中心, 上海 200122)

Assembling Capacity-based Load Forecasting and Its Application in Power Distribution Network Planning

LI Chunjie^1,2, HUA Yueshen², GU Liqiang²

(1.School of Electronic Information and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200030, China;2.Dispatch Control Center, Shanghai Pudong Power Supply Company, State Grid, Shanghai 200122, China)

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Received:June 02, 2015

中文摘要: 根据用户和配电网设备的历史负荷数据,研究了用户装接容量与需用系数之间的关系,基于点、线、面的负荷预测思路,运用需用系数法、业扩工询法等预测方法,更准确地对负荷进行预测,并应用于实际电网规划和设备负荷控制.

中文关键词: 负荷预测装接容量电网规划

Abstract:The relationship between users' assembling capacity and the demand factor is studied according to the historical load data of user and distribution network. Based on the "point, line, surface" load forcasting method, load is more accurately forcast by means of the demand factors method, the industry expansion work polling method and so on. This method is also applicable in real power grid planning and equipment load control.

keywords: load forcasting assembling capacity power grid planning

文章编号：20150606 中图分类号： 文献标志码：

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Author Name	Affiliation	E-mail
LI Chunjie	School of Electronic Information and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200030, China Dispatch Control Center, Shanghai Pudong Power Supply Company, State Grid, Shanghai 200122, China	230212103@qq.com
HUA Yueshen	Dispatch Control Center, Shanghai Pudong Power Supply Company, State Grid, Shanghai 200122, China
GU Liqiang	Dispatch Control Center, Shanghai Pudong Power Supply Company, State Grid, Shanghai 200122, China